qchen34--tradingagents
wehub-resource-sync
155 行
5.4 KiB
HTML
155 行
5.4 KiB
HTML
<!DOCTYPE html>
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<html lang="zh-CN">
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<head>
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<meta charset="UTF-8">
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<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0">
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<title>02 策略机制 — LRS TQQQ 策略研究</title>
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<link href="https://fonts.googleapis.com/css2?family=Noto+Sans+SC:wght@400;500;600;700;900&family=Inter:wght@400;500;600;700;900&display=swap" rel="stylesheet">
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<link rel="stylesheet" href="style.css">
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</head>
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<body>
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<nav class="top-nav">
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<a href="index.html" class="nav-brand">← 目录</a>
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<div class="nav-divider"></div>
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<span class="nav-chapter">Chapter 02 · 策略机制</span>
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<span class="nav-counter">02 / 03</span>
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<a href="01.html" class="nav-btn">← 上一章</a>
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<a href="03.html" class="nav-btn">下一章 →</a>
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</nav>
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<main>
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<div class="page-header">
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<span class="page-num">Chapter 02</span>
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<h1 class="page-title">策略机制</h1>
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<span class="page-sub">Strategy Mechanics</span>
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</div>
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<div class="g2">
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<!-- ── Left: Flowchart ── -->
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<div class="panel">
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<div class="strip strip-amber"></div>
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<div class="panel-header has-sub">
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<div class="ph-title-row">
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<span class="ph-num">2.1</span>
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<h3>核心决策规则</h3>
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</div>
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<div class="ph-sub">QQQ 200 日均线驱动 · 规则客观 · 零主观干预</div>
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</div>
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<div class="panel-body">
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<div class="fc">
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<div class="fc-node fc-start">每日收盘后 — 检查 QQQ 收盘价</div>
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<div class="fc-arr">↓</div>
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<div class="fc-node fc-dec">
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QQQ 收盘价 <span class="hl">高于</span> 200 日均线，<br>
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且均线斜率 > -0.5%，连续满足 <strong>≥ 3 天</strong>？
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</div>
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<div class="fc-split">
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<div class="fc-side">
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<div class="fc-lbl y">✓ 三项全满足</div>
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<div class="fc-arr">↓</div>
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<div class="fc-out fc-buy">
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<div class="fmain">买入 TQQQ</div>
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<div class="fsub">▲ 趋势确认，杠杆捕获上涨</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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<div class="fc-side">
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<div class="fc-lbl n">✗ 任一不满足</div>
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<div class="fc-arr">↓</div>
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<div class="fc-out fc-sell">
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<div class="fmain">清仓 / 持有现金</div>
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<div class="fsub">▼ 趋势转弱，规避下行风险</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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<div class="fc-foot">
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200 日均线 ≈ 过去 10 个月均价，业界公认的中长期趋势基准<br>
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<em>连续 3 天确认：有效过滤单日假突破信号</em>
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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<!-- ── Right: 两个面板 ── -->
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<div class="rstack">
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<!-- 2.2 三层假设 -->
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<div class="panel">
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<div class="strip strip-indigo"></div>
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<div class="panel-header">
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<div class="ph-title-row">
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<span class="ph-num">2.2</span>
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<h3>三层理论假设</h3>
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</div>
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</div>
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<div class="panel-body">
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<div class="ar">
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<div class="badge">①</div>
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<div>
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<div class="al">趋势延续性</div>
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<div class="ad">上涨趋势中继续上涨的概率 > 短期反转概率</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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<div class="ar">
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<div class="badge">②</div>
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<div>
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<div class="al">均线有效过滤</div>
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<div class="ad">200 日均线识别<strong>中长期趋势</strong>，而非短期价格噪音</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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<div class="ar">
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<div class="badge">③</div>
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<div>
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<div class="al">杠杆收益覆盖摩擦成本</div>
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<div class="ad">趋势期内 TQQQ 收益 > 假信号带来的交易摩擦损耗</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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<!-- 2.3 非对称风险 -->
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<div class="panel">
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<div class="strip strip-violet"></div>
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<div class="panel-header">
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<div class="ph-title-row">
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<span class="ph-num">2.3</span>
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<h3>本质：非对称风险管理</h3>
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</div>
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</div>
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<div class="panel-body">
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<table class="cmp-tbl">
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<thead>
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<tr>
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<th class="rh">纯 TQQQ 买入持有</th>
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<th class="gh">LRS 策略</th>
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</tr>
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</thead>
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<tbody>
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<tr>
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<td class="rc">完整承受 3x 下跌放大</td>
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<td class="gc">系统性规避下行风险 ✓</td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td class="rc">震荡市波动损耗持续侵蚀</td>
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<td class="gc">空仓期完全避开损耗</td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td class="rc">单次大熊市可抹平多年收益</td>
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<td class="gc">保护复利路径的连续性 ✓</td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td class="rc">需要极强的持仓心理承受力</td>
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<td class="gc">规则客观，消除情绪干扰</td>
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</tr>
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</tbody>
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</table>
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</div>
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</div>
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</div><!-- /rstack -->
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</div><!-- /g2 -->
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</main>
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</body>
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</html> |